Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 2.240043 2.365068 2.500435 2.659283 2.842479 3.049610 3.305301
2025-09-21 2.097988 2.255080 2.432503 2.651292 2.919293 3.245068 3.685729
2025-09-28 1.978265 2.150204 2.349675 2.603872 2.928621 3.345216 3.951964
2025-10-05 1.934430 2.126607 2.355849 2.658493 3.063841 3.618259 4.506854
2025-10-12 1.909872 2.121964 2.381716 2.736732 3.235882 3.968357 5.287365
2025-10-19 1.851872 2.071033 2.343905 2.725276 3.279216 4.133740 5.819952
2025-10-26 1.807866 2.034341 2.320788 2.729932 3.343974 4.342523 6.533718
2025-11-02 1.747332 1.973095 2.261204 2.677939 3.315639 4.387043 6.912451
2025-11-09 1.704454 1.932418 2.226367 2.657877 3.333729 4.516106 7.584323
2025-11-16 1.667469 1.897586 2.197211 2.643295 3.357985 4.660580 8.423825
2025-11-23 1.632416 1.863717 2.167437 2.625257 3.373826 4.791258 9.368120
2025-11-30 1.612157 1.848447 2.162211 2.643112 3.451738 5.069221 11.350893
2025-12-07 1.557642 1.786742 2.091318 2.558967 3.347691 4.935026 11.241703
2025-12-14 1.531201 1.761867 2.071051 2.551696 3.379868 5.121901 13.429333
2025-12-21 1.495198 1.722877 2.029206 2.508152 3.341720 5.133014 14.593520
2025-12-28 1.489980 1.725375 2.046292 2.558384 3.482771 5.638220 25.076297
2026-01-04 1.490943 1.736165 2.075550 2.630132 3.676441 6.394734 NaN
2026-01-11 1.468994 1.714377 2.056017 2.619657 3.702747 6.656083 NaN
2026-01-18 1.452231 1.699279 2.045710 2.623931 3.760528 7.061575 NaN
2026-01-25 1.422671 1.665433 2.006268 2.576282 3.701157 7.005384 NaN
2026-02-01 1.402060 1.643722 1.984382 2.557872 3.704588 7.206340 NaN
2026-02-08 1.383703 1.624734 1.965963 2.544482 3.717864 7.461561 NaN
2026-02-15 1.365367 1.605337 1.946307 2.527906 3.722262 7.687233 NaN